Ithuba elikhulu lezindwangu zendwangu selifikile! Indawo yohwebo yamahhala enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni isayiniwe: Ngaphezu kuka-90% wezimpahla zingase zifakwe ku-zero tariff, okuzothinta ingxenye yabantu bomhlaba!

Ngomhla ziyi-15 kuNovemba, i-RCEP, isiyingi sezomnotho esikhulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni, yasayinwa ngokusemthethweni ngemva kweminyaka eyisishiyagalombili yezingxoxo! Indawo yohwebo lwamahhala enesibalo esikhulu sabantu abaningi, isakhiwo sobulungu esihluke kakhulu, namandla amakhulu okuthuthuka emhlabeni azalwa. Lesi yingqopha-mlando enkulu ohlelweni lokuhlanganiswa komnotho wesifunda sase-East Asia, futhi sekufake umfutho omusha ekuvuseleleni umnotho wesifunda kanye nowomhlaba imbala.

Imikhiqizo engaphezu kuka-90% ayikhokhisi kancane kancane

Izingxoxo ze-RCEP zisekelwe ekubambisaneni kwangaphambilini kwe-"10+3" futhi kuqhubeke kwandise ububanzi ku-"10+5". Ngaphambi kwalokhu, i-China isungule indawo yokuhweba mahhala namazwe ayishumi e-ASEAN, futhi intela enguziro ye-China-ASEAN Free Trade Area ihlanganise ngaphezu kuka-90% wezinto zentela zazo zombili izinhlangothi.

Ngokusho kweChina Times, uZhu Yin, uprofesa ohlangene woMnyango Wezokuphatha Komphakathi weSikole Sobudlelwano Bamazwe Ngamazwe, uthe, "Izingxoxo ze-RCEP ngokungangabazeki zizothatha izinyathelo ezinkulu ekwehliseni izithiyo zentela. Ngokuzayo, u-95% noma ngaphezulu wezinto zentela ngeke zikhishwe ekufakweni kububanzi beziro zentela. Indawo yemakethe nayo Izoba nkulu nakakhulu, okuyinzuzo enkulu yenqubomgomo ezinkampanini ezihweba kwamanye amazwe."

Ngokwezibalo zonyaka wezi-2018, amazwe ayi-15 angamalungu esivumelwano azohlanganisa cishe abantu abayizigidigidi ezi-2.3 emhlabeni wonke, okubalelwa ku-30% wabantu bomhlaba; isamba se-GDP sizodlula ama-US$25 trillion, kanti isifunda esihlanganisiwe sizoba indawo yohwebo olukhululekile enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni.

Ezingxenyeni ezintathu zokuqala zalo nyaka, umthamo wokuhwebelana phakathi kweChina ne-ASEAN ufinyelele ku-US$481.81 billion, okuwukunyuka ngo-5% unyaka nonyaka. I-ASEAN ngokomlando ibe nguzakwethu omkhulu wokuhweba wase-China, futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali kwe-China e-ASEAN kukhuphuke ngo-76.6% unyaka nonyaka.

Ukwengeza, ukuphothulwa kwesivumelwano kuzosiza futhi ukwakha uchungechunge lwempahla nenani lentengo esifundeni. U-Wang Shouwen, iPhini likaNgqongqoshe Wezohwebo kanye nePhini Lomele Izingxoxo Zohwebo Lwamazwe Ngamazwe, wake waveza ukuthi ukwakhiwa kwendawo yohwebo yamahhala ehlangene esifundeni kuzosiza isifunda sendawo ukuthi sakhe uchungechunge lokunikezela ngempahla kanye ne-value chain ngokusekelwe ezinhlelweni zayo zokuqhathanisa, futhi izothinta ukuhamba kwezimpahla nobuchwepheshe esifundeni. , Ukugeleza kwesevisi, ukugeleza kwezimali, okuhlanganisa ukuhamba kwabantu bewela imingcele kuzoba nezinzuzo ezinkulu, okwenza umphumela "wokudala ukuhweba".

Thatha imboni yezingubo njengesibonelo. Uma izingubo zaseVietnam manje sezithunyelwa eChina, kuzodingeka ukuthi ikhokhe intela. Uma ijoyina isivumelwano sohwebo lwamahhala, uchungechunge lwenani lesifunda luzosebenza. I-China ingenisa uvolo e-Australia naseNew Zealand. Ngenxa yokuthi isayine izivumelwano zohwebo lwamahhala, ingase ingenise uvolo ngaphandle kwentela esikhathini esizayo. Ngemuva kokungenisa, izolukwa ibe yizindwangu eChina. Le ndwangu ingase ithunyelwe e-Vietnam. I-Vietnam isebenzisa le ndwangu ukwenza izingubo ngaphambi kokuthumela eNingizimu Korea, eJapane, e-China nakwamanye amazwe, lezi zingase zingakhokhi intela, ezizokhuthaza ukuthuthukiswa kwemboni yendawo yendwangu nezingubo, ukuxazulula ukuqashwa, futhi kuhle kakhulu ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. .

Ngakho-ke, ngemuva kokusayinwa kwe-RCEP, uma imikhiqizo engaphezu kuka-90% ingekho amanani entengo, izothuthukisa kakhulu ubungqabavu bomnotho bamalungu angaphezu kweshumi nambili, kuhlanganise ne-China.

Ngaso leso sikhathi, esimweni soguquko lwesakhiwo somnotho wasekhaya kanye nokwehla kokuthunyelwa kwempahla phesheya kwezilwandle, i-RCEP izoletha amathuba amasha okuthunyelwa kwendwangu nezingubo zaseChina.

Uyini umthelela embonini yendwangu?

Imithetho Yomsuka Isiza Ukujikeleza Kwezinto Ezingavuthiwe Zendwangu

Kulo nyaka iKomidi Lezingxoxo le-RCEP lizogxila engxoxweni nasekuhleleni imithetho yemvelaphi ezigatshaneni zomphakathi. Ngokungafani ne-CPTPP, enemithetho eqinile yezidingo zomsuka wemikhiqizo ejabulela intela eyiziro emazweni angamalungu, njengemboni yendwangu nezingubo Ukwamukela umthetho we-Yarn Forward, okungukuthi, kusukela entanjeni, kufanele ithengwe emazweni angamalungu ukuze ujabulele. izintandokazi zentela zero. Elinye lamaphuzu abalulekile emizamo yokuxoxisana ye-RCEP wukubona ukuthi amazwe ayi-16 abelana ngesitifiketi esifanayo semvelaphi, futhi i-Asia izohlanganiswa nemvelaphi efanayo ebanzi. Akungabazeki ukuthi lokhu kuzonikeza amabhizinisi endwangu kanye nezingubo zalawa mazwe ayi-16 umphakeli , Ukugunyazwa kwezimpahla kanye nezinqubo zamasiko kuletha ukukhululeka okukhulu.

Izoxazulula izinkathazo zezinto ezingavuthiwe zemboni yendwangu yaseVietnam

Umqondisi woMnyango Wemvelaphi Yehhovisi Lokungeniswa Nokuthekelisa Lomnyango Wezimboni Nezohwebo, uZheng Thi Chuxian, uthe okugqama kakhulu kwe-RCEP kuzoletha izinzuzo embonini yokuthekelisa yaseVietnam yimithetho yayo yemvelaphi, okungukuthi, ukusetshenziswa kwezinto ezingavuthiwe ezivela kwamanye amazwe angamalungu ezweni elilodwa. Umkhiqizo usathathwa njengezwe lendabuko.

Isibonelo, imikhiqizo eminingi ekhiqizwa yi-Vietnam isebenzisa izinto zokusetshenziswa ezivela e-China ayikwazi ukujabulela amanani entela akhethekile lapho ithunyelwa e-Japan, South Korea, nase-India. Ngokusho kwe-RCEP, imikhiqizo ekhiqizwe yiVietnam isebenzisa izinto ezingavuthiwe ezivela kwamanye amazwe angamalungu isabhekwa njengemvelaphi yaseVietnam. Izilinganiso zentela ezikhethwayo ziyatholakala ukuze zithekeliswe. Ngo-2018, imboni yendwangu yaseVietnam yathumela ngaphandle kwama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-36.2, kodwa izinto zokusetshenziswa ezingenisiwe (njengokotini, imicu nezinye izinto) zafinyelela ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-23 zamaRandi aseMelika, iningi lawo lalingeniswa lisuka eChina, eSouth Korea naseNdiya. Uma i-RCEP isayinwa, izoxazulula izinkathazo zemboni yendwangu yaseVietnam mayelana nezinto zokusetshenziswa.

Uchungechunge lokuhlinzekwa kwezindwangu emhlabeni wonke kulindeleke ukuthi lwakhe iphethini ehamba phambili ye-China + amazwe angomakhelwane

Ngokuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kwe-R&D ehlobene nendwangu nezingubo zaseChina, ubuchwepheshe bokuklama nokukhiqiza kwezinto ezingavuthiwe neziyisizayo, ezinye izixhumanisi zokukhiqiza ezisezingeni eliphansi zidluliselwe eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia. Nakuba ukuhweba kweChina ngemikhiqizo yendwangu eqediwe nezingubo zokugqoka eNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia kwehlile, ukuthunyelwa kwezinto ezingavuthiwe neziyisizayo kuzokwenyuka kakhulu. .

Yize imboni yezindwangu yamazwe aseNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia amelwe yiVietnam ikhula, izinkampani zezindwangu zaseShayina azikho esimweni sokushintshwa ngokuphelele.

I-RCEP ekhuthazwa ngokuhlanganyela yi-China kanye ne-Southeast Asia iphinde ibe ngenjongo yokuzuza ukubambisana okufana nokuwina. Ngokubambisana kwezomnotho kwesifunda, i-China kanye namazwe aseNingizimu-mpumalanga ye-Asia angafinyelela intuthuko efanayo.

Ngokuzayo, ochungechungeni lokuhlinzekwa kwezindwangu zomhlaba wonke, iphethini evelele ye-China + amazwe angomakhelwane kulindeleke ukuthi yakheke.


Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-14-2021